Membership no.
Password


Forgot passwort?
Sign up membership

Contact

Sabine Ursel

Phone +49 69 30838-113
Fax +49 69 30838-189
E-Mail

Markit/BME Purchasing Managers’ Index, September 2008

September data signalled a deepening of the recent downturn in the German manufacturing sector, as clients cut back demand in response to the unfavourable economic outlook and concerns over the latest global financial market turmoil. New export orders were particularly hard hit in September, with the rate of contraction the steepest since October 2001. Once the main engine of growth in the manufacturing sector, there were reports that export demand from the US, the UK and key Eurozone trading partners fell sharply at the end of the third quarter. At 47.4 in September, down from 49.7 in August, the seasonally adjusted Markit/BME Purchasing Managers’ Index® (PMI®) – designed to give a single-figure snapshot of operating conditions in the manufacturing economy – was below the neutral 50.0 mark for a second month running and at its lowest level since June 2003. The latest deterioration in overall business conditions primarily reflected substantial falls in output and new work. September’s drop in incoming new business was the fastest since mid-2003 and broad-based across the three market groups. Fewer new order intakes led to the most marked reduction of unfinished business since the series began in September 2002. Despite making significant inroads into their levels of work-in-hand (but not yet completed), German manufacturers indicated that production levels declined at the steepest rate for six years. Sector data signalled that the fastest fall in output was at intermediate goods producing firms.

Job creation slowed to virtual stagnation in September, as falling workloads gave manufacturers little incentive to increase personnel numbers at their plants. With a number of survey respondents anticipating lower production requirements in the final quarter of 2008, input buying fell at the fastest pace for over five years. Meanwhile, stocks of finished goods were run down in September, as firms trimmed their sales expectations and sought to avoid unwanted inventory building.
Input prices data provided some respite in an otherwise disappointing month for the German manufacturing sector. Average cost burdens rose at the slowest rate for seven months, helped by lower oil and other commodity prices on world markets. However, German manufacturers indicated that factory gate price inflation remained at an elevated level, with robust increases in output charges broad-based across the three market groups.